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Corporate America continues to deliver strong earnings, so, in my opinion, the only way a potential sell-off turns into a bear market is if the weakness in the job market sparks an economic recession. Bear markets (measured by peak-to-trough declines of 20% or more) are rarer but still happen every six years or so. Stock market sell-offs can be unsettling, but they are the price investors pay for the opportunity to earn significant returns over the long term.
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Tuesday finance with Alan Kohler
Track global markets, follow price trends, and stay ahead with real-time finance insights.Analyze and visualize the stock market with advanced charts, technical indicators, and real-time data. Using simulation analysis, we show that the big news bias extends to other stock market indices and also analyse how the bias varies with the skewness of the distribution of financial returns. This, in combination with the nightly news’ focus on large changes, results in negative news on stock market performance — even when the stock market trends upward because of frequent small gains. As journalists prioritise major events, stock market performance in the news tends to look bad — even over periods where frequent small gains lead to an overall upward trend in the market. Second, the daily performance of stock market indices is negatively skewed (e.g. Acharya et al. 2011, Albuquerque 2012, Campbell and Hentschel 1992).
- To trade on Deutsche Börse, you need a securities account with a bank or online broker that offers Xetra and Frankfurt as trading venues.
- Government shutdown risk returned as a potential volatility catalyst as well.
- Edward Jones and its independent affiliate in the United States, collectively, serve more than 7 million investors.
- It shows that about half of the negativity bias in news can be explained by the distribution of stock returns, even when the negative reporting bias is not explicitly present.
- Systematic investing does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
- These massive investments—primarily in chips, data centers, and AI infrastructure—are supporting revenue growth for other parts of tech, like the semiconductor companies, and contributing positively to the broader economy.
When interest rates rise, it typically becomes more expensive to borrow money, which can slow economic activity and lead to declines in stock prices as investors adjust their expectations. Yes, stock market corrections can occur even when the economy is strong. That range and average helps distinguish corrections and bear markets from routine market volatility, such as smaller pullbacks that may not reflect a broader reassessment of growth, inflation or earnings.
In addition to the new visitor center, a wide-ranging program of lectures offers you a wealth of financial and stock market knowledge. When you are thinking about investing in shares, it’s generally a good idea to consider holding them alongside other investments in a diversified portfolio of assets. When it comes to stock market reporting, media outlets should re-examine their goals. What explains why the average daily performance of the DAX on the nightly news was so much worse than the actual performance? Intuitively, sizeable downturns in the stock market are more frequent than equally large upturns.
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The fund firm topping the performance charts The highest-yielding money market funds to park your cash in 10 shares to give you a £10,000 annual income in 2026 Are high fees chipping away at your investment returns? Here are some handpicked ideas and news articles.
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Check out the chart below to see the losses from some of the stocks with the most perceived exposure to OpenAI since the S&P 500 set its last record high on Jan. 28. The start-up is banking on significant growth over the next few years, combined with substantial inflows from investors, but neither of those things is guaranteed. Fortunately, the market recovered to set new all-time highs on each occasion, but are we headed for another steep correction or even a bear market? Investors should make investment decisions based on their unique investment objectives and financial situation.
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While concerning to investors, corrections are a normal part of market cycles because markets do not move in a straight line, and price “resets” often occur after strong gains or shifting expectations. Recent inflation data underscores why markets continue to debate “soft landing” versus renewed price pressure. AI-related leadership remains an important engine for performance, with information technology and communication services stocks reasserting strength after a slower start to 2025.
Dividends may be increased, decreased or eliminated at any time without notice. Investors should consider their willingness to keep investing when share prices are declining. Systematic investing does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss. Market indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly and are not meant to depict an actual investment.